Consider the following probabilities about the maneuverings between the Kurds and
the US to attack ISIS in Raqqa in Syria.
Pr(US conducts airstrikes against ISIS) = 0.6
Pr(Kurdish forces attack | US conducts airstrikes) = 0.4
Pr(Kurdish forces attack and US does not conduct airstrikes) = 0
(a) What is the probability that no one attacks ISIS?
(b) What type of probability is this?
b) This type of probability can be classified as a subjective probability because there is a subjectiveness in the statement. It is not based on a random experiment or past(historical) data. According to the question, there is a 60% chance that US conduct airstrike against ISIS, extra. We have found that there is a 40% chance that no one attack on ISIS.
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