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Using the table Opinion on Global Warming Nonissue Serious Concern Total Political Party Democratic 85 415 500 Republican 290 210 500 Independent 70 130 200 Total 445 755 1200
, a) What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. adult who is a Republican believes that global warming is a serious issue? b) What is the probability that a randomly selected U.S. adult is a Republican given that he or she believes global warming is a serious issue? c) What is P(Serious Concern Democratic)?
Facebook reports that 70% of their users are from outside the United States and that 50% of their users log on to Facebook every day. Suppose that 20% of their users are United States users who log on every day. a) What percentage of Facebook’s users are from the United States? b) What type of probability is the 20% mentioned above? c) Construct a contingency table showing all the joint and marginal probabilities. d) What is the probability that a user is from the United States given that he or she logs on every day? e) Are From United States and Log on Every Day independent? Explain.
1)
NonIssue | Serious concern | Total | |
Democratic | 85 | 415 | 500 |
Republican | 290 | 210 | 500 |
Independent | 70 | 130 | 200 |
Total | 445 | 755 | 1200 |
(a) The required probability = 210/500 = 0.42
(b) The required probability = 210/755 = 0.278
(c) P(Serious concern Democratic) = 415/1200 = 0.3458
2)
(a) Percentage of Facebook's users who are from the United States = 30%
(b) The probability 20% is a joint probability of a United States user who log on every day
(c)
Log on every day = Yes | Log on every day = No | Total | |
United States user = Yes | 20% | 10% | 30% |
United States user = No | 30% | 40% | 70% |
Total | 50% | 50% | 100% |
(d)
The required probability = 0.2/0.5 = 0.4
(e)
No, they are not independent
Since for these two events to be independent, we should have P(United States user = Yes, Log on every day = Yes)
= P(United States user = Yes)*P(Log on every day = Yes)
which does not satisfy in this case
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