Question

Please do the calculation for the missing data of the Forecast Evolution Table below: Month t...

Please do the calculation for the missing data of the Forecast Evolution Table below:

Month

t

Actual Demand

At

Forecast

Ft

Error

et

Absolute error

|et|

Error squared

et 2

Absolute percent error

[|et|/At] *100

1

200

225

2

240

220

3

300

285

4

270

290

5

230

250

6

260

240

7

210

250

8

275

240

TOTAL

MAD=

MSE=

MAPE=

Homework Answers

Answer #1

since et =Actual -forecast

therefore :

Month Actual Demand Forecast Error Absolute error Error squared Absolute percent error
t At Ft et |et| et 2 [|et|/At] *100
1 200 225 -25 25 625 12.5000
2 240 220 20 20 400 8.3333
3 300 285 15 15 225 5.0000
4 270 290 -20 20 400 7.4074
5 230 250 -20 20 400 8.6957
6 260 240 20 20 400 7.6923
7 210 250 -40 40 1600 19.0476
8 275 240 35 35 1225 12.7273
TOTAL 195 38025 81.404
average value MAD=24.375 MSE=659.375 MAPE =10.1754
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