The following data represent the survival data for the ill-fated Titanic voyage by gender. The males are adults males and the females are adult females:
Gender
Survival |
Male |
Female |
Child |
total |
Survived Died |
338 1352 |
316 109 |
57 52 |
711 1513 |
Total |
1690 |
425 |
109 |
2224 |
Suppose a passenger is selected at random.
Male | Female | Child | Total | |
Survived | 338 | 316 | 57 | 711 |
Died | 1352 | 109 | 52 | 1513 |
Total | 1690 | 425 | 109 | 2224 |
P(Survived) = 711/2224 = 0.3197
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P(Female) = 425/2224 = 0.1911
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P(Survived or Female) = P(Survived) + P(Female) - P(Survived and Female)
= 711/2224 + 425/2224 - 316/2224 = 0.3687
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P(Survived and Female) = 316/2224 = 0.1421
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P(Survived | Female) = P(Survived and Female) / P(Female)
= (316/2224) / (425/2224) = 0.7435
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P(Survived | Child) = P(Survived and Child) / P(Child)
= (57/2224) / (109/2224) = 0.5229
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P(Survived | Male) = P(Survived and Male) / P(Male)
= (338/2224) / (1690/2224) = 0.2
--
Yes, the adage “women and children first” was adhered to on the Titanic. As more men died on the ship.
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P(both females survived) = (316/425)x(315/424) = 0.552
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