A major airline company is concerned that its proportion of late arrivals has substantially increased in the past month. Historical data shows that on the average 18% of the company airplanes have arrived late. In a random sample of 1,240 airplanes, 260 airplanes have arrived late. If we are conducting a hypothesis test of a single proportion to determine if the proportion of late arrivals has increased using the following hypotheses H 0 and H 3 :p>0.18
Step 1: What is the value of the test statistic? Round your answer to four decimal places
Step 2: What is the p-value of your test? Round your answer to four decimal places
Step 3: What is the conclusion of this problem?
Answer)
Null hypothesis Ho : p = 0.18
Alternate hypothesis Ha : P > 0.18
N = 1240
First we need to check the conditions of normality that is if n*p and n*(1-p) both are greater than 5 or not
N*p = 223.2
N*(1-p) = 1016.8
Both the conditions are met so we can use standard normal z table to estimate the P-Value
Test statistics z = (oberved p - claimed p)/standard error
Standard error = √{claimed p*(1-claimed p)/√n
Observed P = 260/1240
Claimed P = 0.18
N = 1240
After substitution,
Test statistics z = 2.72
From z table, P(z>2.72) = 0.0033
P-value = 0.0033
As the p-value is small we reject the null hypothesis Ho.
We have enough evidence to conclude that p > 0.18.
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