According to a study,
52%
of all males between the ages of 18 and 24 live at home. (Unmarried college students living in a dorm are counted as living at home.) Suppose that a survey is administered and
153
of
249
respondents indicated that they live at home. (a) Use the normal approximation to the binomial to approximate the probability that at least
153153
respondents live at home. (b) Do the results from part (a) contradict the study?
(a)
P(X≥153)=
X ~ Bin ( n , p)
Where n = 249 , p = 0.52
Using Normal Approximation to Binomial
Mean = n * P = ( 249 * 0.52 ) = 129.48
Variance = n * P * Q = ( 249 * 0.52 * 0.48 ) = 62.1504
Standard deviation = √(variance) = √(62.1504) = 7.8836
P(X < x) = P(Z < ( x - mean) / SD )
a)
with continuity correction ,
P(X >= 153) = P(X > 152.5)
P ( X > 152.5 ) = P(Z > (152.5 - 129.48 ) / 7.8836 )
= P ( Z > 2.92 )
= 1 - P ( Z < 2.92 )
= 1 - 0.9982
= 0.0018
b)
Since this probability is less than 0.05, the event isunusual.
The results from part (a) contradict the study.
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