Question

The registrar of a law school has compiled the following statistics on the progress of the...

The registrar of a law school has compiled the following statistics on the progress of the school's students working toward the LLB degree: Of the first-year students in a particular year, 79% successfully complete their course of studies and move on to the second year, whereas 21% drop out of the program; of the second-year students in a particular year, 92% go on to the third year, whereas 8% drop out of the program; of the third-year students in a particular year, 98% go on to graduate at the end of the year, whereas 2% drop out of the program.

(a) Construct the transition matrix associated with the Markov process. (Label your matrix using this order: Drop out, Graduate, First-Year, Second-Year, Third-Year)


(b) Find the steady-state matrix. (Round your answers to four decimal places.)


(c) Determine the probability that a beginning law student enrolled in the program will go on to graduate. (Round your answer to four decimal places.)

Homework Answers

Answer #1

Year1

0.79

Year2

0.92

Year3

0.98

State Probability 0 1       2           3
P(success) 1 0.79 0.79*0.92=0.7268    0.7268*0.98=0.71226
0 0.21 1-0.7268=0.2732    1-0.71226=0.28774
matrix
( 1   0)(0.79 0.21) P1
P1*(0.92    0.08) P2
P2*(0.98   0.02) P3

c)

Probability=0.71226

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