A stationary store has decided to accept a large shipment of ball-point pens if an inspection of 17 randomly selected pens yields no more than two defective pens. (a) Find the probability that this shipment is accepted if 5% of the total shipment is defective. (Use 3 decimal places.) (b) Find the probability that this shipment is not accepted if 15% of the total shipment is defective. (Use 3 decimal places.)
Solution:
( a )
n = 17
p = 0.05
binomial probability distribution
Formula:
P(k out of n )= n!*pk * qn-k / k! *(n - k)
P( x 2 ) = 17!*0.052 * 0.9517-2 / 2! *(17 - 2)+17!*0.051 * 0.9517-1 / 1! *(17 - 1)+17!*0.050 * 0.9517-0 / 0! *(17 - 0)
= 0.1575+0.3741+0.4181
= 0.949
( b )
n = 17
p = 0.15
binomial probability distribution
Formula:
P(k out of n )= n!*pk * qn-k / k! *(n - k)
P( x 2 ) = 17!*0.152 * 0.8517-2 / 2! *(17 - 2)+17!*0.151 * 0.8517-1 / 1! *(17 - 1)+17!*0.150 * 0.8517-0 / 0! *(17 - 0)
= 0.2673+0.1893+0.0631
= 0.519
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