Approximately 3% of the eggs in a store are cracked. If you buy 1 dozen eggs, what is the probability that
a) none of your eggs are cracked
b) at least one of your eggs is cracked
c) exactly two of your eggs are cracked
Solution
Given that ,
p = 0.03
1 - p = 0.97
n = 12
Using binomial probability formula ,
P(X = x) = ((n! / x! (n - x)!) * px * (1 - p)n - x
a)
P(X = 0) = ((12! / 0! (12-0)!) * 0.030 * (0.97)12-0
= ((12! / 0! (12)!) * 0.030 * (0.97)12
= 0.6938
Probability = 0.6938
b)
P(X 1) = 1 - P( X < 1 )
= 1 - P( X = 0)
= 1 - ((12! / 0! (12-0)!) * 0.030 * (0.97)12-0
= 1 - ((12! / 0! (12)!) * 0.030 * (0.97)12
= 1 - 0.6938
= 0.3032
Probability = 0.3032
c)
P(X = 2) = ((12! / 2! (12-2)!) * 0.032 * (0.97)12-2
= ((12! / 2! (12)!) * 0.032 * (0.97)10
= 0.0438
Probability = 0.0438
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