According to records, the amount of precipitation in a certain city on a November day has a mean of 0.10 inches, with a standard deviation of 0.06 inches. What is the probability that the mean daily precipitation will be 0.11 inches or less for a random sample of 40 November days (taken over many years)?
Solution:
Given: the amount of precipitation in a certain city on a November day has a mean of 0.10 inches, with a standard deviation of 0.06 inches.
thus and
Sample size = n = 40
We have to find:
P( the mean daily precipitation will be 0.11 inches or less ) =..........?
Since sample size n = 40 is large , we can use Central limit
theorem which states that for large sample size n ,
sampling distribution of sample mean is approximately normal with
mean of sample means:
and standard deviation of sample means is:
Thus find z score for
Thus we get:
Look in z table for z = 1.0 and 0.05 and find corresponding area.
P( Z< 1.05 ) = 0.8531
Thus
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