Binomial Distribution
According to a survey, one out of four investors in the United States has exchange-traded funds in their portfolios (USA Today, 11 January 2007). Consider a random sample of 20 investors drawn from the US population.
a. Compute the probability that at least 2 investors have exchange-traded funds in their portfolios.
b. If you found that exactly 12 investors have exchange-traded funds in their portfolios, would you doubt the accuracy of the survey results?
c. Compute the expected number of investors who have exchange-traded funds in their portfolios.
Solution:-
p = 1/4 = 0.25
a) The probability that at least 2 investors have exchange-traded funds in their portfolios is 0.9757.
x = 2
By applying binomial distribution:-
P(x,n) = nCx*px*(1-p)(n-x)
P(x > 2) = 0.9757
b) If we found that exactly 12 investors have exchange-traded funds in their portfolios, we should not doubt the accuracy of the survey results, becuase the probbaility of this occurance is very small, less than 0.05.
x = 12
By applying binomial distribution:-
P(x,n) = nCx*px*(1-p)(n-x)
P(x = 12) = 0.00075
c) The expected number of investors who have exchange-traded funds in their portfolios is 5.0.
E(x) = n*p
E(x) = 20*0.25
E(x) = 5.0
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