Researchers developed a safety performance function (SPF), which estimates the probability of occurrence of a crash for a given segment of roadway. Using data on over 100 segments of roadway, they fit the model E(y)=β0+β1x1+β2x2, where y=number of crashes per three years, x1 = roadway length (miles), and x2=average annual daily traffic (number of vehicles)=AADT.
Interstate Highways
Variable |
Parameter Estimate |
Standard Error |
t-value |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept |
1.83708 |
0.57788 |
3.19 |
Length (x1) |
0.15372 |
0.03744 |
3.02 |
AADT (x2) |
0.00015 |
0.00003 |
5.25 |
Non-Interstate Highways
Variable |
Parameter Estimate |
Standard Error |
t-value |
---|---|---|---|
Intercept |
1.16268 |
0.27568 |
3.103633 |
Length (x1) |
0.67195 |
0.02722 |
2.54644 |
AADT (x2) |
0.000580.00058 |
0.00014 |
6.84273 |
refered to a table of critical values of the t distribution
a. Give the least squares prediction equation for the interstate highway model.
y=________x1 ______+_______ x2
b. Give practical interpretations of the β estimates you made in part a. Interpret the value of β0. Choose the correct answer below.
A.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
B.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
C.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant.
Interpret the value of β1. Choose the correct answer below.
A.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant.
B.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β
for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
C.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
a. Give the least squares prediction equation for the interstate highway model.
y=_______+______x1+______x2
b. Give practical interpretations of the β estimates you made in part
a. Interpret the value of β0. Choose the correct answer below.
A.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
B.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
C.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant.
Interpret the value of β1. Choose the correct answer below.
A.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant.
B.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
C.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
Interpret the value of β2. Choose the correct answer below.
A.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
B.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant.
C.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0
are not in the observed range.
c. Refer to parta. Find a 98% confidence interval for β1.
(_____,_______)(Round to five decimal places as needed.)
Interpret the result. Choose the correct answer below.
A.There is not enough information to answer this question.
B.We are 98% confident that the increase in mean number of crashes for each additional mile of roadway is between left limit and right limit, holding AADT constant.
C.We are 2% confident that the increase in mean number of crashes for each additional mile of roadway is between left limit and right limit, holding AADT constant.d. Refer to part
a.Find a 98% confidence interval for β2. (_______,,_________)(Round to five decimal places as needed.)
Interpret the result. Choose the correct answer below.
A.There is not enough information to answer this question
B.We are 98%confident that the increase in mean number of crashes for each additional vehicle per day is between left limit and right limit, holding roadway mileage constant.
C.We are 2% confident that the increase in mean number of crashes for each additional mile of roadway is between left limit and right limit, holding AADT constant.
e. Give the least squares prediction equation for the interstate non-highway model.
y=______+________x1+______x2
Give practical interpretations of the β estimates you made in previous part. Interpret the value of β0. Choose the correct answer below.
A.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
B.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
C.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant.
Interpret the value of β1. Choose the correct answer below.
A.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
B.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
C.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant
.Interpret the value of β2. Choose the correct answer below.
A.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional vehicle per day, holding roadway mileage constant.
B.This value has no meaningful interpretation because x1=0 and x2=0 are not in the observed range.
C.We estimate the mean number of crashes per 3 years will increase by β for each additional mile of roadway, holding AADT constant
.
Find a 98% confidence interval for β1.
(_______,__________) (Round to five decimal places as needed.)
Find a 98% confidence interval for β2.
(______,________-) (Round to five decimal places as needed.)
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