Every day Cara runs for five miles. Suppose that the time it takes her to complete the run is a random variable that is normally distributed with a mean of 50 minutes and a standard deviation of 5 minutes. Today Cara ran the five miles in 46 minutes. What is the probability that she will beat her time tomorrow?
Cara beat her time tomorrow means she run faster than today.
That is time taken by her to complete five miles is less than 46 min
Given,
= 50 , = 5
We convert this to standard normal as
P( X < x) = P( Z < x - / )
So,
P( X < 46) = P( Z < 46 - 50 / 5)
= P( Z < -0.8)
= 1 - P( Z < 0.8)
= 1 - 0.7881 (Probability calculated from Z table)
= 0.2119
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