Cases in 2014 | US Deaths in 2014 | Probability |
33,599 | 2,626,418 | 0.01279271 |
1 | Using an appropriate and reliable web site with at least one year's data from within the last 5 years, research and make a table to the right that shows the number of cases, the total population and the relative frequency (similar to the example above) that estimates the probability that a randomly selected person in the U.S. will be afflicted with pertussis (whooping cough). Give the estimated probability in the box below and submit the relevant URL(s) you visited to find the information/data. Then, to assist the health care providers of the U.S. in medically and financially preparing for whooping cough cases, use your estimated probability value to predict the number of U.S. citizens that will be afflicted in 2019 (assume the US population in 2019 is estimated to be around 330,126,000.) | ||||||||||
2 | Using data from any year or years of your choice in the last 10 years, determine an empirical value that represents the probability that a randomly chosen newborn baby in the U.S. will be female. Locate the necessary data on the internet from a reliable site and submit the relevant URLs along with your answer. (NOTE: We want an empirical probability—don’t assume that there is a 50-50 chance of newborns being female.) Then to assist the long-range plans of advertisment agencies, use your estimated probability value to predict the number of female U.S. births that will occur in 2019 (assume that the total number of births in 2019 is estimated to be around 3,920,000.) Make a chart to the right using the model above and give URL's used. Type a summary of your findings in the box below. (Hint--would encourage use of CDC's "WONDER" online database search engine to find appropriate data.) | ||||||||||
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