U.S. Civilian Labor Force, 2007-2016 | |||
Year | Labor Force | ||
2007 | 153,918 | ||
2008 | 154,655 | ||
2009 | 153,111 | ||
2010 | 153,650 | ||
2011 | 153,995 | ||
2012 | 155,628 | ||
2013 | 155,151 | ||
2014 | 156,238 | ||
2015 | 157,957 | ||
2016 | 159,640 | ||
(d) Make forecasts using the following fitted
trend models for years 2017-2019. (Round your answers to
the nearest whole number.)
t | Linear | Quadratic | Exponential |
11 | 158608 | 161301 | |
12 | 159192 | 163354 | |
13 | 159776 | 165653 | |
The exponentia trend model equation along with the scatter plot is as follows
The linear trend equation is
y = 152218 * e0.0037 * x
where e is constant = 2.71828
Where y is the Labour force for the year "'x" where x = 1 represents year 2007 and son on
For year 2017, x = 11
y = 152218 * 2.718280.0037 * 11
= 152218 * 1.04154
= 158541.1
= 158541 rounded to nearest whole number
For year 2018, x = 12
y = 152218 * 2.718280.0037 * 12
= 152218 * 1.0454
= 159128.8
= 159129 rounded to nearest whole number
For year 2019, x = 13
y = 152218 * 2.718280.0037 * 13
= 152218 * 1.049276
= 159718.6
= 159719 rounded to nearest whole number
= 159129 rounded to nearest whole number
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