here,n=12500
p=0.04
binomial distribution
check the condition for normal approximation,
np=12500*0.04=500
n(1-p) =12500*0.96 = 12000
both are greater than 10 ,so, binomial distribution can be approximated to normal distribution
now
Sample size , n = 12500
Probability of an event of interest, p = 0.04
left tailed
X < 475
Mean = np = 500
std dev ,σ=√np(1-p)= 21.9089023
Z = (X - µ ) / σ = -1.14
P(X ≤ 475 ) = P(Z ≤
-1.14 ) = 0.1269(answer) [ excel formula
=normsdist(z) ]
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