After being rejected for employment, Kim Kelly learns that the
Bellevue Credit Company has hired only two women among the last 17
new employees. She also learns that the pool of applicants is very
large, with an approximately equal number of qualified men as
qualified women.
Help her address the charge of gender discrimination by finding the
probability of getting two or fewer women when 17 people are hired,
assuming that there is no discrimination based on gender.
(Report answer accurate to 8 decimal places).
P(at most two) =
Because this is a serious claim, we will use a strict cutoff value
for unusual events. We will use 0.5% as the cutoff value (1 in 200
chance of happening by chance). With this in mind, does the
resulting probability really support such a charge?
Let X be the number of female employees to be hired in 17 new employees assuming that both male and female are equally eligible to be hired. Then, X ~ Binomial(17, 0.5)
P(at most two) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) + P(X = 2)
= 17C0 * 0.50 * 0.517 + 17C1 * 0.51 * 0.516 + 17C2 * 0.52 * 0.515
= 0.00000763 + 0.00012970 + 0.00103760
= 0.00117493
Since the resulting probability (0.00117493) is less than 0.005 (0.5%), we can conclude that the serious claim of gender discrimination is valid. So,
yes, this supports a charge of gender discrimination
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