National Scan, Inc., sells radio frequency inventory tags. Monthly sales for a seven-month period were as follows: |
Month | Sales (000)Units |
Feb. | 16 |
Mar. | 19 |
Apr. | 11 |
May. | 22 |
Jun. | 19 |
Jul. | 24 |
Aug. | 21 |
b. | Forecast September sales volume using each of the following: |
(Fill in the blanks)
(1) |
A linear trend equation.(Round your intermediate calculations and final answer to 2 decimal places.) |
Yt | __________thousands |
(2) |
A five-month moving average. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) |
Moving average_________ | thousands |
(3) |
Exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant equal to .20, assuming a March forecast of 19(000). (Round your intermediate forecast values and final answer to 2 decimal places) |
Forecast_____________ | thousands |
(4) | The naive approach. |
Naive approach___________ | thousands |
(5) |
A weighted average using .60 for August, .20 for July, and .20 for June. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) |
Weighted average_________ | thousands |
1)
1) from above linear trend forecast =14.143+8*1.179 =23.57
2) five-month moving average forecast =19.4
3)
Exponential smoothing frecast =19.07 4) Naive approach =21 5) Weighted average =0.6*21+0.2*24+0.2*19 |
=21.2
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