Suppose you are given the following end of year stock price data for Random Inc. stock. Assume the returns are normally distributed, calculate the lower bound of the 68% confidence interval. (Enter percentages as decimals and round to 4 decimals).
Year | Price |
2005 | 43.65 |
2006 | 44.01 |
2007 | 45.77 |
2008 | 53.04 |
2009 | 45.67 |
2010 | 59.05 |
2011 | 46.88 |
2012 | 49.24 |
2013 | 43.99 |
2014 | 42.67 |
2015 | 48.14 |
mean of the sample= =(1/11)*(43.65+44.01+45.77+....+48.14)
=522.11/11
=47.4645
variance =
=1/11{(43.65-47.4645)^2 +(44.01-47.4645)^2+ ...+(48.14-47.4645)^2}
=1/11(14.5504+11.9336+2.87133+31.1086+3.2202+134.2238+0.3416+3.1524+12.0721+22.9872+0.4563)
=236.9145/11
=21.5380
standard deviation =s=4.6409
lower bound for 68% confidence interval
=47.4645-1.0* 1.3993 (z value for 68% confidence interval is 1.0)
=46.0652
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