A pair of fair dice is rolled once. Suppose that you lose
$11
if the dice sum to
4
and win
$14
if the dice sum to
3
or
2
How much should you win or lose if any other number turns up in order for the game to be fair?
Number of combinations to get sum of 4 are (1, 3), (2, 2) , (3, 1)
Probability of getting a sum of 4 = 3/36 = 1/ 12
Number of combinations to get sum of 2 or 3 are (1, 1), (1, 2) , (2, 1)
Probability of getting a sum of 2 or 3 = 3/36 = 1/ 12
Let x be the amount that you win or lose if any other number turns up.
Probability of any other outcome = 1 - (1/12 + 1/12) = 5/6
For fair game, the expected value of the game should be 0,
Expected value of the game = -11 * (1/12) + 14 * (1/12) + x * 5/6 = 0
=> 3 * (1/12) + x * 10/12 = 0
=> 3 + 10x = 0
=> x = -3/10 = -$0.3
Thus, if you lose $0.30 on any other number turns up then the game is fair.
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