A pair of fair dice is rolled once. Suppose that you lose $ 9 9 if the dice sum to 10 10 and win $ 13 13 if the dice sum to 4 4 or 12 12. How much should you win or lose if any other number turns up in order for the game to be fair?
Number of combinations to get sum of 10 are (4, 6), (5, 5) , (6, 4)
Probability of getting a sum of 10 = 3/36 = 1/ 12
Number of combinations to get sum of 4 or 12 are (1, 3), (2, 3) , (3, 1), (6, 6)
Probability of getting a sum of 4 or 12 = 3/36 = 4/36 = 1/9
Let x be the amount that you win or lose if any other number turns up.
Probability of any other outcome = 1 - (1/12 + 1/9) = 29/36
For fair game, the expected value of the game should be 0,
Expected value of the game = -9 * (1/12) + 13 * (1/9) + x * 29/36 = 0
=> -9 * (3/36) + 13 * (4/36) + x * 29/36 = 0
=> 29x = -25
=> x = -25/29 = -$0.86
Thus, if you lose $0.86 on any other number turns up then the game is fair.
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