Delta Airlines quotes a flight time of 3 hours, 6 minutes for a particular flight. Suppose we believe that actual flight times are uniformly distributed between 3 hours and 3 hours, 48 minutes.
What is the probability that the flight will be no more than 6 minutes late?
Answer :
Given
1 hour = 60 mintues
then,
a = 3 hours = 3 * 60 = 180
b = 3hours 48 mintues
= (3 * 60 )+ 48
= 180 + 48
= 228 min
flight time = 3 hours 6 mintues.
= (3 * 60) + 6
= 180 + 6
= 186 min
Here the flight will be no more than 6 minutes late,
i.e X = 186 + 6 = 192 min
therefore,
Probability that the flight will be no more than 6 minutes late = P(X <= x)
So, P(X <= 192) = (x-a) / (b-a)
Where X = 192 , a = 180 , b = 228
P(X <= 192) = (192 - 180) / (228 - 180)
= 12 / 48
= 0.25
Probability that the flight will be no more than 6 minutes late = 0.25
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