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Sup. Suppose Kate and Anne enter into a pooling arrangement. Assume that both women have the following loss distributions and that that losses are independent.
Sup
a) a) Write out the possible outcomes and the probability of each outcome for Kate and Anne after they enter into a pooling arrangement. That is, write out the probability distribution for each of the women after they enter into a pooling arrangement.
Solution
Possible outcome | Loss | Cost paid by each( average Loss) | Probability |
Kate had loss and Anne did not | 50,000 | 25,000 | 0.005*0.995=0.004975 |
Kate had loss and Anne did not | 20,000 | 10,000 | 0.01*0.99=0.0099 |
Kate had loss and Anne did not | 10,000 | 5,000 | 0.02*0.98=0.0196 |
Neither Kate nor anne had loss | 0 | 0 | 0.965*0.965=0.931 |
Anne had loss kate did not | 50,000 | 25,000 | 0.005*0.995=0.004975 |
Anne had loss kate did not | 20,000 | 10,000 | 0.01*0.99=0.0099 |
Anne had loss kate did not | 10,000 | 5,000 | 0.02*0.98=0.0196 |
Both Anne and Kate had loss | 100,000 | 50,000 | 0.005*0.005=0.000025 |
Both Anne and Kate had loss | 40,000 | 20,000 | 0.01*0.01=0.0001 |
Both Anne and Kate had loss | 20,000 | 10,000 | 0.02*0.02=0.0004 |
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