A lottery game called Pick 5 where the player pays $1 and picks a 5-digit number. If the 5 numbers come up in the order you picked, then you win $3,000. What is your expected value?
From the given data, the following Table is formed:
Event | Value for the player (x) | Probability (p) | x p |
Correct order of 5 numbers | $3000 - $1 = $2999 | 1/105 =0.00001 | $2999 X 0.00001 = $0.02999 |
Other than the correct order of 5 numbers | - $1 | 1 - 0.00001 = 0.99999 | -$1 X 0.99999 = -$0.99999 |
Total = | -$0.97 |
:So,
Expected value = - $0.97
(Loss)
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