Question

4. We have 10 coins, which are weighted so that when flipped the kth coin shows...

4. We have 10 coins, which are weighted so that when flipped the kth coin shows heads with probability p = k/10 (k = 1, . . . , 10).

(a) If we randomly select a coin, flip it, and get heads, what is the probability that it is the 3rd coin? Answer: 3/55 '

(b) What is the probability that it is the kth coin? Answer: k/55

(c) If we pick two coins and they both show heads, what is the probability that one of them is the 5th coin? So far, for part (c), I have P(E5 | HH) = (1/18)/P(HH), but I am not confident in how to find P(HH).

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