(a) A newspaper conducted a statewide survey concerning the 1998 race for state senator. The newspaper took a SRS of 1200 registered voters and found that 620 would vote for the Republican candidate. Let pp represent the proportion of registered voters in the state who would vote for the Republican candidate. How large a sample nn would you need to estimate pp with a margin of error 0.01 with 95 percent confidence? Use the guess p=.5p=.5 as the value of pp.
A. 9604
B. 49
C. 1500
D. 4800
(b) A newspaper conducted a statewide survey concerning the 1998 race for state senator. The newspaper took a SRS of 1200 registered voters and found that 620 would vote for the Republican candidate. Let pp represent the proportion of registered voters in the state who would vote for the Republican candidate. A 90 percent confidence interval for pp is:
A. 0.517 ±± 0.024
B. 0.517 ±± 0.028
C. 0.517 ±± 0.014
D. 0.517 ±± 0.249
(c) A radio talk show host with a large audience is interested
in the proportion pp of adults in his listening area who think the
drinking age should be lowered to 18. He asks, 'Do you think the
drinking age should be reduced to 18 in light of the fact that 18
year olds are eligible for military service?' He asks listeners to
phone in and vote 'yes' if they agree the drinking age should be
lowered to 18, and 'no' if not. Of the 100 people who phoned in, 70
answered 'yes.' Which of the following assumptions for inference
about a proportion using a confidence interval are violated?
A. The sample size is large enough so that the
count of failures n(1?p^)n(1?p^) is 15 or more.
B. The sample size is large enough so that the
count of successes np^np^ is 15 or more.
C. The population is at least ten times as large
as the sample.
D. The data are an SRS from the population of
interest.
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