Sales of Volkswagen's popular Beetle have grown steadily at auto dealerships in Nevada during the past 5 years (see table below).
Year |
Sales |
1 |
460460 |
2 |
510510 |
3 |
518518 |
4 |
563563 |
5 |
580580 |
a) Forecasted sales for year 6 using the trend projection (linear regression) method are
614.1614.1
sales (round your response to one decimal place).
b) The MAD for a linear regression forecast is
8.28.2
sales (round your response to one decimal place).
c) The MSE for the linear regression forecast is
sales (round your response to one decimal place).
from given line equation:
year | sales(A) | forecast(F) | |A-F| | (A_F)^2 |
1 | 460 | 467.6 | 7.6 | 57.76 |
2 | 510 | 496.9 | 13.1 | 171.61 |
3 | 518 | 526.2 | 8.2 | 67.24 |
4 | 563 | 555.5 | 7.5 | 56.25 |
5 | 580 | 584.8 | 4.8 | 23.04 |
6 | 614.1 | |||
average= | 8.24 | 75.18 |
a)
Forecasted sales for year 6 =614.1
b)
MAD= 8.2
c)
MSE =75.2
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