Imagine rolling two fair 6 sided dice. the number rolled on the first die is even and the sum of the rolls is ten. are these two events independent?
even on first die : 2,4,6
P[ number rolled on the first die is even ] = 3/6 = 1/2
sum is 10 : (5,5), (6,4), (4,6) out of 36 possibilities
P[ sum of the rolls is ten ] = 3/36 = 1/12
sum is 10 and even on first die (6,4), (4,6)
P[ sum is 10 and even on first die ] = 2/36 = 1/18
For, the events being independent
P[ sum is 10 and even on first die ] = P[ number rolled on the first die is even ]*P[ sum of the rolls is ten ]
P[ number rolled on the first die is even ]*P[ sum of the rolls is ten ] = 1/2*1/12 = 1/24
which is not equal to P[ sum is 10 and even on first die ]
hence, the events are not independent
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