My friend and I are playing a gambling game in which we each roll a die. We then compare the numbers on the two dice to determine the outcome. If my roll is larger, I win $1 and my friend loses $1. If her roll is larger, I lose $1 and she wins $1. And if our two rolls are equal, we both don’t win or lose any money.
(a) Write your answers as simplified fractions: What is the chance I win $1? ___________ What is the chance I lose $1? ___________ What is the chance I don’t win or lose any money? ___________
(b) Based on your answers to (a), write down a box model for the amount I win or lose from one play of this game.
(c) The average of the tickets in the box from (b) is ___________ and the SD is ___________.
(d) Suppose my friend and I play the game 200 times. What is the chance I win $10 or more?
ANSWER::
We write sample size for roll of two dice. I won if 1st number is greater than 2nd number
a)
i) Chance I win $1 = 15/36
= 0.42
Ii) chance I lose $1 = 15/36
= 0.42
Chance I dont win or lose any money = 6/36
= 0.16
b)
Let X denote amount win
X = $1 with p=15/36
-$1 with p=15/36
0 with p = 6/36
c)
Average = 1(15/36) -1(15/36) + 0(6/36)
Average =0
E(X^2) = 1(15/36)+1(15/36)+0(6/36)
= 30/36
Variance = E(X^2) - [E(X)]^2
= 30/36
= 0.83
Standard deviation = sqrt(0.83)
= 0.91
d)
Let Y denote amount won from playing 200 games, Y = 200X. E(Y) =200E(X) =0,
Standard deviation Y = 200(sdX) = 182
P(Y>=10) = P(Z>=10/182)
= P(Z>= 0.05)
= 0.4801
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