Question

h 04 HW 3 Forecasting problem Method: Exponential Smoothing optimized with Solver The data for this...

h 04 HW 3 Forecasting problem Method: Exponential Smoothing optimized with Solver The data for this problem is shown in the table below. Note: changes from the original problem data are highlighted in yellow. Time (t) Actual A(t) 1 950 2 930 3 915 4 920 5 901 6 898 7 884 8 913 9 924 10 937 11 don't have yet What is the value for MSE using this method?

Homework Answers

Answer #1

MSE = 244.7

Alpha 1
Beta 0
Data Forecasts and Error Analysis
Period Demand Smoothed Forecast, Ft Smoothed Trend, Tt Forecast Including Trend, FITt Error Absolute Squared Abs Pct Err
Period 1 950 960 960 -10 10 100 01.05%
Period 2 930 950 0 950 -20 20 400 02.15%
Period 3 915 930 -15 15 225 01.64%
Period 4 920 915 5 5 25 00.54%
Period 5 901 920 -19 19 361 02.11%
Period 6 898 901 -3 3 9 00.33%
Period 7 884 898 -14 14 196 01.58%
Period 8 913 884 29 29 841 03.18%
Period 9 924 913 11 11 121 01.19%
Period 10 937 924 13 13 169 0.013874
Total -23 139 2447 15.17%
Average -2.3 13.9 244.7 01.52%
Bias MAD MSE MAPE
SE 17.48928
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