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Probability Theory using the addition and multiplication rules:
a. When tossing a coin what is the probability of obtaining at least 4 heads in 6 tosses of the coin?
b. There are 5 red balls and 5 green balls in an upturned hat. If you remove the balls from the hat at random what are the chances of the following?
i. the first ball is: a) red; b) green?
ii. if the first ball was red the second ball is: a) red; b) green?
iii. that all red balls are drawn first?
iv. that the first 5 are red and the last 5 are green?
v. that the last ball drawn is green?
The Use of the Z Score Formula and Z Score Tables.
A random sample of 80 trees are aged using a coring device. It is established that their mean age is 30 years with a standard deviation of 5 years. Assuming that their ages are distributed normally, answer the following questions using the Z score formula and the Z score tables from your textbook (make sure that you show all your work in the material that you hand in):
i. What is the age range between the second and 98th percentile?
ii. What percentage has an age range between 20 and 28 years?
2) Solution:-
n = 80
i) The age range between the second and 98th percentile is 19.73 and 40.27.
p-value for the top 2nd percentile = 0.02
z-score for the p-value = - 2.054
By applying normal distruibution:-
x2nd percentile = 19.73
p-value for the top 98th percentile = 0.98
z-score for the p-value = 2.054
By applying normal distruibution:-
x98th percentile = 40.27
ii) The percentage has an age range between 20 and 28 years is 0.322.
x1 = 20
x2 = 28
By applying normal distribution:-
z1 = -2.0
z2 = - 0.40
P( -2.0 < z < - 0.40) = P(z > - 2.0) - P(z > - 0.40)
P( -2.0 < z < - 0.40) = 0.977 - 0.655
P( -2.0 < z < - 0.40) = 0.322
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