Question

Your favorite team is in the World Series. You have assigned a probability of 59% that they will win the championship. Past records indicate that when teams win the championship, they win the first game of the series 75% of the time. When they lose the championship, they win the first game 30% of the time. The first game is over and your team has lost. What is the probability that they will win the World Series?

Answer #1

TOPIC:Bayes' theorem.

The baseball World Series is won by the first team to win four
games. Suppose both teams are equally likely to win each game. What
is the probability that the team that wins the first game will win
the series?

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Explain the reasoning behind your computation in words. (b) Suppose
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winner being the first team to win four games. Assume that the
Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins are playing in the World
Series and that the first two games are to be played in Atlanta,
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