Consider the following time series.
t | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
yt | 5 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 14 |
Use simple linear regression analysis to find the parameters for the line that minimizes MSE for this time series. | |
If required, round your answers to two decimal places. | |
y-intercept, b0 = | |
Slope, b1 = | |
MSE = | |
(c) | What is the forecast for t = 6? |
If required, round your answer to one decimal place. | |
The statistical software output for this problem is:
Hence,
a) b0 = 3.9
b1 = 2.3
b) MSE = 3.3
c) Forecasted value = 17.7
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