Question

Allergic reactions to poison ivy can be miserable. Plant oils cause the reaction. Researchers at Allergy...

Allergic reactions to poison ivy can be miserable. Plant oils cause the reaction. Researchers at Allergy Institute did a study to determine the effects of washing the oil off within 5 minutes of exposure. A random sample of 1000 people with known allergies to poison ivy participated in the study. Oil from the poison ivy plant was rubbed on a patch of skin. For 500 of the subjects, it was washed off within 5 minutes. For the other 500 subjects, the oil was washed off after 5 minutes. The results are summarized in the following table. Reaction Within 5 Minutes After 5 Minutes Row Total None Mild Strong 390 59 51 61 346 93 451 405 144 Column Total 500 500 1000 Let's use the following notation for the various events: W = washing oil off within 5 minutes, A = washing oil off after 5 minutes, N = no reaction, M = mild reaction, S = strong reaction. Find the following probabilities for a person selected at random from this sample of 1000 subjects. (Use 3 decimal places.)

P(N)

P(M)

P(S)

P(N | W)

P(S | W)

P(N | A)

P(S | A) (d)

P(N and W)

P(M and W)

P(N or M).

Homework Answers

Answer #1

please check below table if this is correct; as that given in question is not uploaded properly:

<5 minute > 5 minute total
none 390 61 451
mild 59 346 405
strong 51 93 144
column total 500 500 1000

P(N)=451/1000=0.451

P(M)=405/1000=0.405

P(S)=144/1000=0.144

P(N|W)=390/500=0.78

P(S|W)=51/500=0.102

P(N|A)=61/500=0.122

P(S|A)=0.186

P(N and W)=390/1000=0.39

P( M and W) =59/1000=0.59

P(N or W)=(500+451-390)/1000=561/1000=0.561

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