6.5 Prop 19 in California. In a 2010 Survey USA poll, 70% of the
119 respondents between
the ages of 18 and 34 said they would vote in the 2010 general
election for Prop 19, which would
change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be
regulated and taxed. At a 95%
confidence level, this sample has an 8% margin of error. Based on
this information, determine if
the following statements are true or false, and explain your
reasoning.38
(a) We are 95% confident that between 62% and 78% of the California
voters in this sample
support Prop 19.
(b) We are 95% confident that between 62% and 78% of all California
voters between the ages of
18 and 34 support Prop 19.
(c) If we considered many random samples of 119 California voters
between the ages of 18 and
34, and we calculated 95% confidence intervals for each, 95% of
them will include the true
population proportion of 18-34 year old Californians who support
Prop 19.
(d) In order to decrease the margin of error to 4%, we would need
to quadruple (multiply by 4)
the sample size.
(e) Based on this confidence interval, there is sufficient evidence
to conclude that a majority of
California voters between the ages of 18 and 34 support Prop
19.
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