Suppose that the counts recorded by a Geiger counter follow a Poisson process with an average of two counts per minute. What is the probability that the first count occurs between two and 3 minutes after start-up?
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Answer:
Calculate the probability that the first count occurs between 2 and 3 minutes after start-up.
Average of 2 counts per minute is same as waiting time of 0.5 minutes per count.
Let T be the time to get the first count (in min).
Here,
The distribution function for T is,
P(2<=T<=3) = P(T<=3) - P(T<=2)
=( 1 - e-3/0.5) - ( 1 - e-2/0.5) = 0.0183 - 0.0024788 = 0.01582
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