A survey of needy and disabled youths showed that 48% of those who had no preschool education were arrested or charged with a crime by the time they were 19, whereas only 34% who had preschool education wound up in this category. The survey did not specify what percentage of the youths in the survey had preschool education, so let us take a guess at that and estimate that 14% of them had attended preschool. (Round all answers to the nearest 1%.)
(a) What percentage of the youths arrested or charged with a crime had no preschool education?
(b) What would this figure be if 86% of the youths had attended preschool?
Answer:
a)
Given,
Let us assume that S be the preschool
NS be the no preschool
And A be the Arrested or charged
P(S) = 0.14
P( NS) = 1 - 0.14
= 0.86
P( A/S) = 0.34
P( A/NS) = 0.48
Let us consider,
P(A) = P(S) * P( A/S) + P(NS) * P( A/NS)
substitute values
= 0.14 * 0.34 + 0.86 * 0.48
= 0.4604
P(A) = 46 %
b).
P(S) = 0.86
P( NS) = 0.14
P( A/S) = 0.34
P( A/NS) = 0.48
let us consider,
P(A) = P(S) * P( A/S) + P(NS) * P( A/NS)
= 0.86 * 0.34 + 0.14 * 0.48
= 0.3596
= 35.96 %
P(A) = 36%
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