In one flip of 10 unbiased coins, what is the probability of getting a result as extreme or more extreme than 8 heads?
A. .0547
B. .1094
C. .2246
D. Impossible to determine
The correct option is A. .0547
Explanantion:
Since the alternative hypothesis is p>0.5, more extreme values are numbers of heads closer to 10.
The probability of 8 or more heads in 10 tosses assuming the coin is fair.
But, the number of heads in 10 tosses of a coin assuming that the coin is fair has a binomial distribution
with n=10 and p=0.5.
The p-value is P[8 heads] + P[9 heads] + P[10 heads].
From the binomial probability distribution,
P[8 heads]=0.044,
P[9 heads]=0.01, and P[10 heads]=0.001.
Thus the p-value is 0.044+0.010+0.001=0.055.
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