Question

2. You have been asked to analyze a production machine. Suppose that you think there is...

2. You have been asked to analyze a production machine. Suppose that you think there is a 90% chance that the proportion of defective parts produced by the machine is between 0.1 and 0.2. You also believe the most likely value of this proportion is 0.15. Fit your prior belief with a Beta distribution (i.e. in terms of the parameters r & n)

Homework Answers

Answer #1

ANSWER::

we need alpha and beta such that mode = 0.15

P(0.1 < X< 0.2) = 0.9

Using Solver

Alpha = 21.94 = 22 ,

Beta = 120

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