Question

Discussion Questions
Read:
A) Review van Cleave (2016) Chapter 3. If we need to make complex inferences, what intellectual virtues does Van Cleave argue we should employ? Discuss an example from your professional or personal life where these virtues would help strengthen your ability to make logical inferences.

Reflect:
B) What misconceptions often rise around the idea of a scientific “theory”? What are the characteristics of good scientific theories?

C) Review Van Cleave (2016) Chapter 3. Look at the example of Linda the bank teller (p. 175).

Now answer the following questions:

What is the conjunction fallacy?

Where have you committed this fallacy in your professional or personal life?

What steps can you take to recognize and change your thinking?

Answer 1

Conjunction fallacy is the feeling of more probable options rather thanone single options which are totally wrong. I have committed this fallacy in decision making once wheather to continue with my job or to start a new business which was a total conjunction fallacy which i realised later depending on the situations.

The steps that I have recognised to change thinking is to rethink the entire thing especially how it would be the situation if i take the new path and how it would be if i continue with my known present path , which would be more comfortable for me. Realise this thing would solve the problem . Though its tough to analyse the situations fully and there is a pressure in the brain to adopt the new way but still thinking logically is the only way to overcome the problem.