They forecast new revenues of $100 million in the first year and $200 million in year 2, growing at 2.5% per year thereafter. The cost of goods underlying these new revenues is 45 percent of the revenues.
To achieve these synergies will require an investment of $400 million initially, and 5% of the added revenue each year, to fund working capital growth.
Find the net present value of these synergies using a discount rate of 15% and a marginal tax rate of 40%.
Suppose the Time is 10 years, NPV calculation is given below:
Year | Initial Cost | Revenue | Operational cost | Working capital | Net Cash Flow | Discount Factor | CF*DF |
0 | 400.000 | -400.000 | 1.0000 | -400.00 | |||
1 | 100.000 | 45.000 | 0.000 | 55.000 | 0.8696 | 47.83 | |
2 | 200.000 | 90.000 | 5.000 | 105.000 | 0.7561 | 79.40 | |
3 | 205.000 | 92.250 | 0.250 | 112.500 | 0.6575 | 73.97 | |
4 | 210.125 | 94.556 | 0.256 | 115.313 | 0.5718 | 65.93 | |
5 | 215.378 | 96.920 | 0.263 | 118.195 | 0.4972 | 58.76 | |
6 | 220.763 | 99.343 | 0.269 | 121.150 | 0.4323 | 52.38 | |
7 | 226.282 | 101.827 | 0.276 | 124.179 | 0.3759 | 46.68 | |
8 | 231.939 | 104.372 | 0.283 | 127.283 | 0.3269 | 41.61 | |
9 | 237.737 | 106.982 | 0.290 | 130.466 | 0.2843 | 37.09 | |
10 | 243.681 | 109.656 | 0.297 | 133.727 | 0.2472 | 33.06 | |
NPV | 136.70 |
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