You plan to invest in the Kish Hedge Fund, which has total capital of $500 million invested in five stocks:
Stock | Investment | Stock's Beta Coefficient |
A | $160 million | 0.5 |
B | 120 million | 2.0 |
C | 80 million | 4.0 |
D | 80 million | 1.0 |
E | 60 million | 3.2 |
Kish's beta coefficient can be found as a weighted average of its stocks' betas. The risk-free rate is 6%, and you believe the following probability distribution for future market returns is realistic:
Probability | Market Return |
0.1 | (5%) |
0.2 | 9 |
0.4 | 11 |
0.2 | 14 |
0.1 | 17 |
Inv | Wt | Beta | prob | Return | ||
160 | 0.32 | 0.5 | 0.16 | 0.1 | 5 | |
120 | 0.24 | 2 | 0.48 | 0.2 | 9 | |
80 | 0.16 | 4 | 0.64 | 0.4 | 11 | |
80 | 0.16 | 1 | 0.16 | 0.2 | 14 | |
60 | 0.12 | 3.2 | 0.384 | 0.1 | 17 | |
500 | ||||||
Beta | 1.824 | Market return | 11.2 |
Required rate of return = rf+beta(market return - risk
free)
=6+1.824(11.2-6)=15.48%
b) At beta of 1.5, return should be = 6+1.5(11.2-6)=13.80%
Since return is 14% which is more , the new stock should be
purchased
Kish should be indifferent at 13.80%
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