The Bartram-Pulley Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive investment projects. Each project costs $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual net cash flows from each project begin 1 year after the initial investment is made and have the following probability distributions:
BPC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at an 11% rate and the less risky project at a 10% rate.
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1.
Net cash flow
Project A=0.2*5000+0.6*6750+0.2*7000=6450.000
Project B=0.2*0+0.6*6750+0.2*20000=8050.000
2.
Standard deviation
Project
A=sqrt(0.2*(5000-6450)^2+0.6*(6750-6450)^2+0.2*(7000-6450)^2)=731.437
Project B=sqrt(0.2*(0-8050)^2+0.6*(6750-8050)^2+0.2*(20000-8050)^2)=6521.886
3.
CV
Project A=731.437/6450=0.113
Project B=6521.886/8050=0.810
4.
Risk adjusted NPV
Project A=-6750+6450/10%*(1-1/1.1^3)=9290.195
Project B=-6750+8050/11%*(1-1/1.11^3)=12921.903
5.
Accept
6.
Yes
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