Indiana Company expects to receive 5 million euros in one year from exports.It can use any one of the following strategies to deal with the exchange rate risk. Estimate the dollar cash flows received as a result of using the following strategies:
a). unhedged strategy
b). money market hedge
c). option hedge
The spot rate of the euro as of today is $1.30. Interest rate parity exists. Indiana Company uses the forward rate as a predictor of the future spot rate. The annual interest rate in the U.S. is 6% versus an annual interest rate of 4% in the eurozone. Put options on euros are available with an exercise price of $1.25, an expiration date of one year from today, and a premium of $.04 per unit. Estimate the dollar cash flows it will receive as a result of using each strategy. Which hedge is optimal?
a. | |||
Cash flow if remains unhedged | |||
Forward rate | Spot rate*(1+Rd)/(1+rf) | ||
Forward rate | 1.30*(1.06/1.04) | ||
Forward rate | 1.30*1.019231 | ||
Forward rate | $1.33 | ||
Amount of euro to be received | 5000000 | ||
Forward rate | 1.33 | ||
Cash flow | $6,625,000 | ||
b. | |||
Cash flow in money market hedge | |||
Amount of receivables | $5,000,000 | ||
Interest rate for Euro | 4% | ||
Amount borrowed in Euro | $4,807,692 | ||
$ received from converting | $6,250,000 | ||
Deposit rate in U.S | 6% | ||
Cash flow in money market hedge | $6,625,000 | ||
c. | |||
Cash flow in options | |||
Amount of receivables | 5000000 | ||
Amount received per unit | $1.29 | (1.33-0.04) | |
Cash flow from options | $6,425,002 | ||
The put option would not be exercise as future spot rate is higher than strike rate | |||
The money market hedge is optimat as it provides higher cash flow |
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