You have been hired as a risk manager for Acorn Savings and Loan. Currently, Acorn's balance sheet is as follows (in millions of dollars): Assets Liabilities Cash reserves 49.8 Checking and savings 79.5 Auto loans 98.1 Certificates of deposit 101.3 Mortgages 147.2 Long-term financing 94.8 Total Assets 295.1 Total liabilities 275.6 Owner's equity 19.5 Total liabilities and equity 295.1 When you analyze the duration of loans, you find that the duration of the auto loans is 2.1 years, while the mortgages have a duration of 7.1 years. Both the cash reserves and the checking and savings accounts have a zero duration. The CDs have a duration of 2.2 years, and the long-term financing has a 9.5-year duration. a. What is the duration of Acorn's equity? b. Suppose Acorn experiences a rash of mortgage prepayments, reducing the size of the mortgage portfolio from $ 147.2 million to $ 98.1 million, and increasing cash reserves to $ 98.9 million. What is the duration of Acorn's equity now? If interest rates are currently 4 % and were to fall to 3 %, estimate the approximate change in the value of Acorn's equity. (Assume interest rates are APRs based on monthly compounding.) c. Suppose that after the prepayments in part (b), but before a change in interest rates, Acorn considers managing its risk by selling mortgages and/or buying 10-year Treasury STRIPS (zero coupon bonds). How many should the firm buy or sell to eliminate its current interest rate risk?
Solution:
a. Asset duration = 49.8/295.1 (0) + 98.1/295.1 (2.1) + 147.2/295.1 (7.1)
Asset duration = 4.24 years
Liability Duration = 79.5/275.6 (0) + 101.3/275.6 (2.2) + 94.8/275.6 (9.5)
Liability Duration = 4.08 years
Equity duration = 295.1/19.5 (4.24) - 275.6/19.5 (4.08)
Equity duration = 6.50 years
b. Asset duration = 148.7/344.9 (0) + 98.1/344.9 (2.1) + 98.1/344.9 (7.1)
Asset duration = 2.62 years
Equity duration = 344.9/19.5 (2.62) - 275.6/19.5 (4.08)
Equity duration = -11.32 years
Therefore, if interest rates drop by 1%, we would expect the value of Acorn’s equity to drop by about 11%
c. Acorn would like to increase the duration of its assets, so it should use cash to buy long-term bonds.
Amount = (11 years x 19.5)/10
Amount = 21.45
We should buy $21.45 million worth of 10-year STRIPS.
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