Suppose that the natural rate of interest is 2 percent and the current rate of inflation is 4 percent. If the inflation gap is 2 percent and the rate of real GDP growth is 3 percent above its potential, the FOMC’s target fed-funds rate is:
Let the fed funds target rate be "i".
i= r* + pi + 0.5 (pi-pi*) + 0.5 ( y-y*)
where:
i = nominal fed funds rate
r* = real federal funds rate (usually 2%)
pi = rate of inflation
p* = target inflation rate
Y = logarithm of real output
y* = logarithm of potential output
r* = 2
pi =4
pi* = 2(since the pap is 2%, 4-2 =2)
y = log 2+3 = log 5 = 0.69897
y* =log 2 = log 2 = 0.3010
i =2 +0.5*(4-2) +0.5*(0.6989-0.3010) = 3.198 = 3.2%
FOMC’s target fed-funds rate is = 3.2%
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