Consider the following information
State Probability X Z
Boom .25 15% 10%
Normal .60 10% 9%
Recession .15 5% 10%
What is the expected return and standard deviation for a portfolio with an investment of $6000 in asset X and $4000 in asset Y?
Return of stock X = 0.25(0.15) + 0.6(0.1) + 0.15(0.05) = 0.105
Return of stock Z = 0.25(0.1) + 0.6(0.09) + 0.15(0.1) = 0.094
Weight of asset X = 6000 / 10000 = 0.6
weight of asser Z = 4000 / 10000 = 0.4
Expected return = 0.6 * 0.105 + 0.4 * 0.094
Expected return = 0.063 + 0.0376
Expected return = 0.1006 or 10.6%
Variance of the portfolio = 0.6 ( 0.105 - 0.1006)2 + 0.4(0.094 - 0.1006)2
Variance of the portfolio = 0.000012 + 0.000017
Variance of the portfolio = 0.000029
Standard deviation is square root of variance
Sqaure root od 0.000029 is 0.005424 or 0.5424%
Standard deviation is 0.5424%
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