The current price of Natasha Corporation stock is $5.17. In each of the next two? years, this stock price can either go up by $2.50 or go down by $2.00. The stock pays no dividends. The? one-year risk-free interest rate is 4.4% and will remain constant. Using the Binomial? Model, calculate the price of a? two-year put option on Natasha stock with a strike price of $7.00.
First of all lets find probability of price moving up or down
U = Sou/So
=7.67/5.17
=1.4836
d = Sod/So
=3.17/5.17
=0.613
p = e^rt - d/ u-d
=(1.044) - 0.613/1.4836-0.613
=0.430847/0.870406
=49.5%
Thus probability of price increase is 49.5%
Probability of price decrease = 50.5%
Now
Fou = {fouu*p + foud*(1-p)]/1.044
=[0*0.495 + 1.33*0.505]/1.044
=0.67165/1.044
=0.6433
Now fod
=[fodu*p + fodd*(1-p)]/1.044
=[(1.33*0.495)+(5.83*0.505)]/1.044
=[0.65835+2.94415]/1.044
=3.6025/1.044
=3.4507
Now value of put option
=[fou*p + fod*(1-p)]/1.044
=[(0.6433*0.495) + (3.4507*0.505)]/1.044
=0.3184+1.7426 / 1.044
=2.06/1.044
=1.9742$
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