Universal Corporation is planning to invest in a security that has several possible rates of return. Given the probability distribution of returns in the table below, what is the expected rate of return on the investment? Also compute the standard deviation of the returns. What do the resulting numbers represent? a. The expected rate of return on the investment is____%
PROBABILITY RETURN
0.05 -10%
0.15 10%
0.25 15%
0.55 30%
Probability | Return |
0.05 | -10% |
0.15 | 10% |
0.25 | 15% |
0.55 | 30% |
Expected Return is calculated using below formula:
where pi is the probability of the ith possible return Ri
Expected Return = E[R] = (0.05*(-10%)) + (0.15*10%) + (0.25*15%) + (0.55*30%) = 21.25%
Variance is calculated using below formula:
Variance = 0.05*(-10%-21.25%)2 + 0.15*(10%-21.25%)2 + 0.25*(15%-21.25%)2 + 0.55*(30%-21.25%)2 = 0.01196875
we know that standard deviation is just the square-root of the variance
So, Standard Deviation = (0.01196875)1/2 = 0.109401782435205 = 10.94%
These numbers represent that the anticipated return or the profit on this security is 21.25% and the risk associated with that security is around 10.94%
Answer
Expected Return = 21.25%
Standard Deviation = 10.94%
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