Suppose Con Edison Inc. had earnings per share of $2.95 in 2019 and a dividend payout ratio of 69.15%. If in 2020 the expected growth in dividends is 5%, beta is 0.75, Treasury Bill rate is 6% and market risk premium is 5.5%, what should be the expected value (price) of the company’s stock?
As per CAPM, | |||||
Required rate of return= Rf + (market risk premium*Beta) | |||||
Rf=Risk free interest | Rf=6% | Beta=0.75 | |||
Market risk premium = | 5.50% | ||||
Required return= | 6+(5.5*0.75) | ||||
10.13 |
Expected dividend in 2020= | (2.95*69.15%)*(1.05) | |||
$2.14 |
As per gordon model, | |||||
Price of stock= | (Expected dividend)/(Required return-growth) | ||||
= | 2.14/(0.1013-0.05) | ||||
= | $ 41.72 |
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